iNetBet Celebrates 10 Years In The Casino Industry

August 12th, 2009 by

April 2009 saw iNetBet.com celebrate 10 years in the online Casino industry, a remarkable achievement that very few of their competitors have managed to emulate.

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NFL Situation Spotlight - #131: Teams with a consistent Pass Offense in the early part of the season

August 12th, 2009 by

Back during the 2008 off-season, a few new pages quietly made their way into my weekly NFL Game Reports, all of which were aimed at the DIY handicapper, hungry for truly useful team stats and head-to-head player match-up data.

All 3 of the new pages were a welcome addition. But, one of them in particular was especially helpful as it allowed for the proper analysis of team data in a way that had not been possible up until that time (at least with my database, anyway).

The portion of the Game Reports I am talking about concerns the Charts page, which provides 15 different graphs that explore a number of key statistics/ratings and their season-long trajectories.

Before 2008, the comparison of stats on a week-to-week basis was not really something that could easily be queried and analyzed using my STAT software program. My trends predominantly focused on ’single data-points’ such as Rushing Yardage from a previous game, or, season-to-date averages that did not take into account where the same measurement might have sat in the previous week, or the week before that, and so-on.

Last year’s database expansion and new-found ability to explore the season-long fluctuations of many important statistics, such as: the quality of a team’s Pass Offense (POF) or Rush Defense (RDE)–just to name two–has enabled me to isolate a number of interesting patterns in the past 12 months, one of which, just happens to be the focus of this article.

The statistic in question involves a team’s Pass Offense Rating measured over their last 3 games (L3 POF) and more specifically: how consistent this measurement has been over the course of a season.

‘Consistency’ in the world of mathematics, is called ‘deviation’ and it’s really very easy to calculate. With regards to my analysis, I like to look at average deviation (ADEV).

An example of this would be a team entering Week 7 that had an L3 POF of +0.60 in Week 4, -0.25 in Week 5 and +0.30 in Week 6, giving them an average L3 POF of -0.2167 (+0.60 - 0.25 + 0.30) / 3. The average deviation could then be calculated by taking the sum of ‘differences’ between each individual value and the average (-0.2167), divided by the number of values (3). The result in this case: 0.4556.

The average deviation for L3 POF is typically around 0.7. But, as far as this trend is concerned, we are only going to be interested in teams with a very consistent L3 POF that carries an average deviation of less than 0.2.

Since 1994, teams with a L3 POF ADEV of less than 0.2 are an astounding 136-95 (58.9%) ATS producing a very tidy profit of $3,970.00 when wagering $110 to win back $100.00 on each game. This trend has had even bigger success in the past 6 seasons, with a record of 63-36 ATS, based on this one condition alone.

At this point, it’s worth noting that because my fundamental ratings, such as POF and RDE, are only tracked starting in Week 3 of the regular season (2 games worth of data are required for their calculation) AND the separate calculation of Average Deviation requires at least 2 different measurements again; this trend only becomes active in Week 4, which also happens to be the week that it’s most likely to appear in.

After Week 7, the number of teams that have an ADEV of less than 0.2 drops off dramatically, thanks to the increased chance of at least one extremely bad (or extremely good) passing performance that will serve to increase ADEV beyond our benchmark.

Now, a record of 136-95 ATS over 15 seasons is nothing to sneeze at; however, with the addition of a number of related ’secondary’ conditions, one can improve the profitabililty of this trend by a great deal.

The first of these conditions concerns the elimination of any teams that are coming off a Pass Offense Rating (POF) of > +0.5 in the previous season.

Teams coming off a season with a Pass Offense rating high enough to probably put them in the top 5 in the league are only 19-32 ATS when the also have a L3 POF ADEV of > 0.2, so, once this condition is added, the record improves to 116-62 (65.2%) ATS and a $4,780.00 profit.

So, why are teams that have a predictable Pass Offense in the first half of the season–and it could be either good or bad–so damn good versus the number?

The answers are not all that clear, to be honest. But, it’s probably more to do with the linesmaker habitually undervaluing teams that have produced a consistently good (or bad) effort with regards to their Passing Offense, more than anything else.

Regardless of the murky logic, this trend definitely bears watching in the 2009 season.

For all the details, along with 2 other secondary conditions that increase it’s win percentage to over 70%, please read on.

(Notes: ASMR stands for Average Spread Margin Rating. A positive rating indicates a trend that is stronger than average versus the line, negative–weaker than average. TDIS% is the percentage of teams in the league that have been involved in this situation at one time or another. WT% is the percentage of teams that are .500 or better and SPR is the average spread for teams in this situation. For more details, please consult Page 18 of my 2009 NFL Game Reports Guide.)

Situational Trend #131 Summary

Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)<br>
1) L3 Pass Offense Rating Average Deviation (L3 POF ADEV) &lt; 0.2.<br>

Secondary Conditions (Tighteners)<br>
1) Exclude Pass Offense Rating (POF) &gt; 0.5 last season.<br>
2) Exclude 4 Pre Season Wins (PSW).<br>
3) Exclude Points Against average (PA) of &gt; 30 per-game.<br>

Situation Stats<br>
ASMR: -0.7<br>
Home%: 53<br>
Dog%: 48<br>
TDIS%: 94<br>
WT%: 60<br>
SPR: +0.4<br>
Top Teams: BAL(15); OAK(11); MIN(9); MIA(8); BUF(7)<br>

Situation Record<br>
Overall (Since ‘94): <b>109-45</b> ATS<br>
2008 Season: 5-1 ATS<br>
2007 Season: 5-2 ATS<br>
2006 Season: 8-4 ATS<br>
2005 Season: 10-6 ATS<br>
2004 Season: 7-3 ATS<br>

Last 5 Results. Pick in Brackets.<br>
2008 WK7–TEN 34 KC 10 (TEN -9) W<br>
2008 WK5–TEN 13 BAL 10 (TEN -3) P<br>
2008 WK4–PIT 23 BAL 20 (BAL +5.5) W<br>
2008 WK4–CHI 24 PHI 20 (CHI +3) W<br>
2008 WK4–BUF 31 STL 14 (BUF -8) W<br>

Dennis Arthur, a self-professed statistics junkie and American Football fanatic, has been providing innovative NFL analysis based against the Vegas point spread since 1999. For more wagering orientated articles like this one along with specialized team ratings and winning selections versus the spread, visit his site at http://www.armchairanalysis.com.

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Why Playing Live Roulette On Your Tv Is So Popular

August 11th, 2009 by

Live roulette on your tv is rapidly becoming popular among the classes and the masses. The last decade has seen a spurt in the number of people opting for Live roulette games on tv. One of the most prominent reasons is that Live roulette tv allows players to enjoy the thrilling game from the comforts of their home. Since the television channels broadcast the game all through the day, the participants can play at their own leisure time. Live roulette was played in slots when it was first launched. Through popular demand Live roulette on uk tv has become a 24 hours game.

The game of Live roulette tv has become a very successful business owing to the greater number of participants. With the advancement of technology it is now possible to play roulette without having to step out of the house. Who could have thought about enjoying the same adrenalin rush without going to a casino? Gone are the days when one had to take a holiday and leave the city to visit some expensive casino.

The popularity of Live roulette on your tv is because people save a lot of their time and money in travelling to far off casinos. Players do not have to skip work to take out some time for their favorite game. Live roulette tv can be played after work while relaxing on the couch and munching on burgers. Players can interact with the presenter via phone or the website of the channel.

Live roulette on your tv does not take away the excitement of playing in a real casino. The set is made realistically to give the feel of a real casino to the players. The only difference is that the players will not be able to order drinks while playing. Live roulette tv has a real roulette table that is Casino Certified, a real ball, a real wheel and a real dealer. The games of Live roulette on uk tv are exactly the same as any real casino. The wheel is spun and the ball is dropped on the wheel. With the decrease in the momentum of the wheel, the ball ceases to spin and settles on a number. The players just have to guess the number on which the ball will finally rest. Attractive bonuses are offered to make Live roulette on your tv more tempting. Players are given free chips to familiarize themselves with the game. There are special bonuses given from time to time to add to the excitement of the game.

It is exciting to play live roulette tv games online, there are lots of new sites to play at, like the awesome super live casino site.

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How to Find the Best Bookies Odds - Compare Betting Odds

August 10th, 2009 by

When you are seeking out online bookies, it is important to compare betting odds.  Bookies odds vary, depending upon the bookie that you are using.  For this reason, before you deposit money or place a bet with an online bookmaker, you need to do a comparison check. 

 

There are many different online bookmakers.  You can check on the bookies odds to see how well they pay out on whatever bet you are placing.  Because the odds are calculated by the bookmakers, it is a good idea to compare betting odds before you place any bets.  Most people use bookmakers to place bets on sporting events or horse racing.  The bookies odds are always different and fluctuate depending on the bets that are being placed. 

 

When you compare betting odds, you will see that there are different odds on different events on which you may want to bet.  You can find the bookies odds on the online website to see if the bet is something that you want to make.  This entails you going to the site and checking out the odds. 

 

For example, if you want to bet on a fight, you will notice that the odds for the fight change.  They will most likely be different between different bookmakers.  In order to get the best odds that will give you the best payout, you need to bet on the bookmaker that is giving the greatest amount of odds.  The more people who place bets on the team, the lower the bookies odds will become.  However, this may differ from bookmaker to bookmaker. 

 

When you compare betting odds before you place your bet, you have the best chance of getting the most money if your team wins.  If you bet against the odds, you can have your bet covered by the bookmaker if the team wins. 

 

If you find a website that gives you all of the different bookies odds, you can save yourself time when you want to place bets.  This is the best way to compare betting odds between the different online bookies.  Instead of visiting many sites, you can compare the different types of bookies and what type of odds they are offering for the bets that you want to place.  The best way to find bookies odds is to compare betting odds at a site that will allow you to see the different type of bookmakers.

 

If you are trying to figure out which bookmaker is the right one for you, it is best to take a look at the odds that the different bookmakers are giving.  It is best to make sure that you get the best odds when you are placing a bet so that you can have a chance to win the most money.  You can check out where the best betting takes place when you go online and take a look at the different odds makers that are offering betting for online members.  Before you make a bet with an online bookie, compare betting odds by going to a site that allows you to see a run down of all the bookmakers.

If you are seeking the best Bookies Odds, you can do so by looking at different bookmakers online. You can Compare Betting Odds by going to Compare Bookies.

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FFXI Accounts For Nearly Digit Now

August 9th, 2009 by

Role activity games are by farther my selection and I have been activity FFXI Accounts for nearly digit now. The digit abstract that I have detected is that most players don’t solo. They’re ever hunting for a party. Don’t intend me wrong, I wager null criminal with partying. Even I band at times FFXI Accounts. I meet don’t see why someone would defense around for hours meet waiting, when they could be somewhere conflict and gaining undergo patch they are waiting. I have actually seen players move for octet hours or more. Don’t they actualize that they could have gained verify or digit during that time? Do they conceive that soloing is likewise hard? Why is everyone in much a hurry? This mettlesome goes on and on, so why not verify your instance and meet savor it? After all, it is meet a FFXI Account. Anyone who knows me knows that I am a genuine solo. Think most it for a moment. When you are on your possess every you have to vexation most is yourself. You can do some you want, go where ever you want, fisticuffs some way you want, and exclusive vexation most ownership yourself healed.

You have no digit that you requirement to backward with, so this gives you more time. You can fight, fight, and fisticuffs whatever more! You will be totally astonished how such recreation this can be and how such exp you will gain. When feat discover on your possess you meet requirement to be certain where you go. Go where you can fisticuffs cushy preys and decorous challenges. Pull digit gang Dom at a instance and ready your eyes open. It is essential to verify your instance and not be in a hurry. Always ready yourself well in between fights. Don’t verify chances. I undergo it takes instance to heal, but it is such meliorate than keeling over and losing every that exp. Final Fantasy has prefabricated it modify easier to unaccompanied and acquire exp. They accumulated the turn that you intend from mobs and they have also additional earth manuals by the outposts.

These manuals provide you five some pages to opt from wow accounts. When you rank a tender you obtain a coequal turn of gil and exp (plus what you gained discover on the field) along with tabs which are decade proportionality of the exp. You can consume the tabs at the earth drill to acquire destined matter items and intend buffs. Utilize these earth manuals and have a wind patch you’re doing it! There is digit abstract most soloing that you will attend and that is your skills (with the omission of magic) don’t go up much. That is because the mobs you are conflict requirement to be stronger. I don’t vexation most this because I undergo that they will go up when I am partying. You can see a aggregation from soloing in FFXI Accounts. You will embellish meliorate in every characteristic of the game. Learning from soloing will attain you such meliorate partier. Oh, and don’t have likewise such recreation now, LOL! Happy soloing!

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